Seasonality — Monthly Return Map
Shows what an asset historically returned on average in each calendar month and how many years it closed positive. The data-backed answer to "what does gold usually do in June?"
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The tool computes each calendar month’s return from the selected asset’s month-end closes, then groups them into 12 months to derive the average return and the hit rate (share of years that month closed positive).
A green month is historically strong, a red month weak. A high hit rate means the pattern is more consistent. This is a historical average, not a precise forecast.
What is seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of prices to show recurring patterns in certain months. Gold demand shifts with wedding and festival seasons; the dollar moves with tourism and external-debt calendars. A single month is no firm signal; the multi-year average shows the tendency.
Why does hit rate matter?
An average return can be inflated by one extreme year. The hit rate measures how many years that month closed positive, showing the consistency of the pattern. A month high in both average and hit rate signals a more reliable seasonal tendency.
How to use it
Read seasonality alongside trend, macro and valuation — not on its own. Past patterns may not repeat. The tool is informational, not investment advice.